{"id":478852,"date":"2023-08-09T09:39:10","date_gmt":"2023-08-09T09:39:10","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2023-09-05T11:17:41","modified_gmt":"2023-09-05T11:17:41","slug":"seasonal-decomposition-of-a-time-series-stl","status":"publish","type":"wiki","link":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/ir\/wiki\/seasonal-decomposition-of-a-time-series-stl\/","title":{"rendered":"\u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc (STL)"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u06cc<\/h2>\n<p>\u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc (STL) \u06cc\u06a9 \u062a\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u06a9 \u0622\u0645\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0633\u062a \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u062c\u0632\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0622\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0645\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u062f: \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f\u060c \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0648 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0647. \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0631\u0648\u0634 \u0628\u06cc\u0646\u0634\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0631\u0632\u0634\u0645\u0646\u062f\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0648\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062f\u0647\u062f \u0648 \u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0631\u06a9 \u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0628\u0647\u062a\u0631 \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f\u0647\u0627\u060c \u062a\u063a\u06cc\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0686\u0631\u062e\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u0648 \u0646\u0648\u0633\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0627\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645 \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u06a9\u0645\u06a9 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0647\u060c \u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u062e\u0686\u0647\u060c \u0645\u06a9\u0627\u0646\u06cc\u06a9\u060c \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639\u060c \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u0686\u0634\u0645\u200c\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0632\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u06cc\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc (STL) \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u067e\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0632\u06cc\u0645 \u0648 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0622\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u0642\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0648 \u0633\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0631\u0627\u06a9\u0633\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u0645.<\/p>\n<h2>\u0645\u0646\u0634\u0623 \u0648 \u0630\u06a9\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u0647<\/h2>\n<p>\u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0634\u0641 \u0627\u062c\u0632\u0627\u06cc \u0630\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u0622\u0646 \u0628\u0647 \u0686\u0646\u062f\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0647\u0647 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0628\u0631\u0645\u06cc \u06af\u0631\u062f\u062f. \u0631\u0648\u0634\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u0647\u060c \u0645\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f \u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06af\u06cc\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u062d\u0631\u06a9 \u0648 \u0647\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0646\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u06cc\u060c \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u0647 \u0648 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0639\u0647 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u062a\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u06a9\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0686\u06cc\u062f\u0647\u200c\u062a\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f STL \u0631\u0627 \u0627\u06cc\u062c\u0627\u062f \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0646\u062f. \u0645\u0646\u0634\u0627 STL \u0631\u0627 \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 &quot;\u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc: \u0686\u0627\u0631\u0686\u0648\u0628 \u0628\u06cc\u0632\u06cc&quot; \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0644\u0646\u062f\u060c \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0644\u0646\u062f\u060c \u0645\u06a9\u0631\u06cc \u0648 \u062a\u0631\u067e\u0646\u06cc\u0646\u06af\u060c \u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u0644 1990 \u0645\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0631 \u0634\u062f\u060c \u0631\u062f\u06cc\u0627\u0628\u06cc \u06a9\u0631\u062f. \u06cc\u06a9 \u0631\u0648\u0634 \u0642\u0648\u06cc \u0648 \u0627\u0646\u0639\u0637\u0627\u0641 \u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u0634\u0631\u06cc\u062d \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc.<\/p>\n<h2>\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u06a9\u0627\u0646\u06cc\u06a9<\/h2>\n<h3>\u0633\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0627\u0631 \u0648 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u06cc<\/h3>\n<p>\u0633\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u06cc \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc (STL) \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0633\u0647 \u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0627\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p><strong>\u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f<\/strong>: \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062a\u063a\u06cc\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u062a \u06cc\u0627 \u062d\u0631\u06a9\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0644\u0646\u062f \u0645\u062f\u062a \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u062b\u0628\u062a \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u06cc\u06a9 \u062a\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u06a9 \u0631\u06af\u0631\u0633\u06cc\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0644\u06cc \u0642\u0648\u06cc (Loess) \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0647\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631 \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u0646\u0648\u0633\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648 \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0633\u062a \u0645\u06cc \u0622\u06cc\u062f.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>\u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc<\/strong>: \u0645\u0648\u0644\u0641\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u06a9\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0634\u0648\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0641\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645 \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0631\u062e \u0645\u06cc \u062f\u0647\u0646\u062f \u0631\u0627 \u0646\u0634\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u06cc \u062f\u0647\u062f. \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06af\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0632 \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0647\u0631 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0647 \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0638\u0631 \u062f\u0631 \u0686\u0631\u062e\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0633\u062a \u0645\u06cc \u0622\u06cc\u062f.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>\u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0647 (\u0628\u0627\u0642\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0647).<\/strong>: \u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u062a\u063a\u06cc\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0627\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645 \u0648 \u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u067e\u06cc\u0634 \u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u0646\u0634\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u06cc \u062f\u0647\u062f \u06a9\u0647 \u0646\u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0622\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u06cc\u0627 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0646\u0633\u0628\u062a \u062f\u0627\u062f. \u0628\u0627 \u06a9\u0645 \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0648 \u0645\u0648\u0644\u0641\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0627\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u062f.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3>\u0648\u06cc\u0698\u06af\u06cc \u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u0645\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0627<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0646\u0639\u0637\u0627\u0641 \u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631\u06cc<\/strong>: STL \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06af\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u060c \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0627 \u0641\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0647 \u0646\u0627\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u062e\u0648\u062f \u062c\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u06cc \u062f\u0647\u062f \u0648 \u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0633\u062a \u0631\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u0631\u0627 \u0645\u062f\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u062a \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u062f.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0646\u06cc\u0631\u0648\u0645\u0646\u062f\u06cc<\/strong>: \u062a\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u06a9 \u0647\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0642\u0648\u06cc Loess \u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 STL \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u062f\u060c \u062a\u0623\u062b\u06cc\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0631\u062a \u0648 \u0646\u0648\u06cc\u0632\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0631 \u0641\u0631\u0622\u06cc\u0646\u062f \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u06a9\u0627\u0647\u0634 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062f\u0647\u062f.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0641\u0633\u06cc\u0631 \u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631\u06cc<\/strong>: \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u062c\u0632\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0632 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u06cc\u0631 \u0648 \u062f\u0631\u06a9 \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0645\u062d\u0631\u06a9 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627 \u06a9\u0645\u06a9 \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u062f.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0634\u062e\u06cc\u0635 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc<\/strong>: STL \u0628\u0647 \u0648\u06cc\u0698\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0631\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u062d\u062a\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0622\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u063a\u06cc\u0631 \u0635\u062d\u06cc\u062d \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f \u0648 \u0641\u0631\u06a9\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u0646\u062f.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 STL<\/h2>\n<p>STL \u0631\u0627 \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u062a\u063a\u06cc\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0648 \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0646 \u062f\u0633\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0646\u062f\u06cc \u06a9\u0631\u062f. \u062f\u0631 \u0632\u06cc\u0631 \u0644\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u06cc \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u062f\u0627\u0631\u062f \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u062e\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0631\u0627\u06cc\u062c \u0631\u0627 \u0645\u0634\u062e\u0635 \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u062f:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>STL \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0631\u062f<\/strong>: \u0634\u06a9\u0644 \u0627\u0635\u0644\u06cc STL\u060c \u0647\u0645\u0627\u0646\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u06a9\u0647 \u0642\u0628\u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0636\u06cc\u062d \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0634\u062f\u060c \u06a9\u0647 \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u062c\u0632\u0627\u06cc \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f\u060c \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0648 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u062f.<\/li>\n<li><strong>STL \u0627\u0635\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0634\u062f\u0647<\/strong>: \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639\u06cc \u0627\u0632 STL \u06a9\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u062a\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u06a9\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0647\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u06cc\u0627 \u062a\u0646\u0638\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0636\u0627\u0641\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0622\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u0648\u06cc\u0698\u06af\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0627\u0635 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u0647 \u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634 \u0647\u0627<\/h2>\n<h3>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 STL<\/h3>\n<p>STL \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u062d\u0648\u0632\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u067e\u06cc\u062f\u0627 \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u062f:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0648 \u062f\u0627\u0631\u0627\u06cc\u06cc<\/strong>: \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc\u060c \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u0633\u0647\u0627\u0645 \u0648 \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0627\u0644\u06cc.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0645\u062d\u06cc\u0637\u06cc<\/strong>: \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0642\u0644\u06cc\u0645\u06cc\u060c \u0633\u0637\u0648\u062d \u0622\u0644\u0648\u062f\u06af\u06cc \u0648 \u0646\u0648\u0633\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u06a9\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0698\u06cc\u06a9\u06cc.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062e\u0631\u062f\u0647 \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0634\u06cc \u0648 \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0634<\/strong>: \u062f\u0631\u06a9 \u0631\u0641\u062a\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0635\u0631\u0641 \u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u0647\u060c \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0634 \u0648 \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0631\u06cc\u062f \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>\u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634 \u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u0631\u0627\u0647 \u062d\u0644 \u0647\u0627<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0633\u062a \u0631\u0641\u062a\u0647<\/strong>: STL \u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06af\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0633\u062a \u0631\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u062e\u0648\u0628\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u062a \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u062f\u060c \u0627\u0645\u0627 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u062a \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u062f\u06cc\u0631 \u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0633\u062a \u0631\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0632 \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u062f \u0646\u062a\u0627\u06cc\u062c \u0628\u0647\u062a\u0631\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u0647\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0634\u062f.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0628\u06cc\u0634 \u0627\u0632 \u062d\u062f \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0632\u0634<\/strong>: \u0647\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062a\u0647\u0627\u062c\u0645\u06cc \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0646\u062c\u0631 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0628\u06cc\u0634 \u0627\u0632 \u062d\u062f \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0648 \u0627\u062c\u0632\u0627\u06cc \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u062f. \u062a\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u06a9 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0633\u0646\u062c\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u062f \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0634\u06a9\u0644 \u0631\u0627 \u06a9\u0627\u0647\u0634 \u062f\u0647\u062f.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0686\u06cc\u062f\u0647<\/strong>: \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0686\u06cc\u062f\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc\u060c \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u0631\u0641\u062a\u0647 STL \u06cc\u0627 \u0631\u0648\u0634 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062c\u0627\u06cc\u06af\u0632\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0645\u06a9\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u0644\u0627\u0632\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u0634\u062f.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0627\u06cc<\/h2>\n<p>\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0628\u062e\u0634\u060c \u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc (STL) \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u0645:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u0645\u062f\u062a\u060c \u0627\u0635\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062d<\/th>\n<th>\u0645\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0627\u06cc<\/th>\n<th>\u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f\u06cc\u062a \u0647\u0627<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06af\u06cc\u0646 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u062d\u0631\u06a9<\/td>\n<td>\u0633\u0627\u062f\u0647\u060c \u0622\u0633\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc<\/td>\n<td>\u0635\u0627\u0641 \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u0645\u0645\u06a9\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u062a\u0641\u0627\u0648\u062a \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0638\u0631\u06cc\u0641 \u0631\u0627 \u0646\u0627\u062f\u06cc\u062f\u0647 \u0628\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u062f<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0647\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0646\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u06cc<\/td>\n<td>\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u062e\u06cc\u0631\u060c \u0633\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc<\/td>\n<td>\u0645\u0648\u0644\u0641\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u0648 \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0631\u0627 \u0646\u0627\u062f\u06cc\u062f\u0647 \u0645\u06cc \u06af\u06cc\u0631\u062f<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0622\u0631\u06cc\u0645\u0627<\/td>\n<td>\u0627\u062c\u0632\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0631\u0627 \u0645\u062f\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u062a \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u062f<\/td>\n<td>\u062a\u0646\u0638\u06cc\u0645 \u067e\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062a\u0631 \u067e\u06cc\u0686\u06cc\u062f\u0647<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>\u0686\u0634\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0632 \u0622\u06cc\u0646\u062f\u0647<\/h2>\n<p>\u0628\u0627 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u0631\u0641\u062a \u062a\u06a9\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0698\u06cc\u060c \u067e\u062a\u0627\u0646\u0633\u06cc\u0644 \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc (STL) \u0646\u06cc\u0632 \u0627\u0641\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u0645\u06cc \u06cc\u0627\u0628\u062f. \u062a\u0631\u06a9\u06cc\u0628 \u062a\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u06a9\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0627\u0634\u06cc\u0646\u060c \u062a\u0646\u0638\u06cc\u0645 \u062e\u0648\u062f\u06a9\u0627\u0631 \u067e\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062a\u0631\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0648 \u0645\u062f\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u0646\u0648\u0639\u200c\u062a\u0631 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u06cc\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u0627\u0641\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062f\u0647\u062f.<\/p>\n<h2>\u0633\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0631\u0648\u06a9\u0633\u06cc \u0648 STL<\/h2>\n<p>\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0637\u0647 \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0633\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0631\u0627\u06a9\u0633\u06cc \u0648 \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0622\u0648\u0631\u06cc \u0648 \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627 \u0646\u0647\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a. \u0633\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0631\u0648\u06a9\u0633\u06cc \u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0622\u0648\u0631\u06cc \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u062a\u0633\u0647\u06cc\u0644 \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u060c \u06a9\u0647 \u0633\u067e\u0633 \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0634\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u0631\u0641\u062a\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0686\u0631\u062e\u0647 \u0627\u06cc\u060c \u062a\u062d\u062a STL \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u06af\u06cc\u0631\u0646\u062f. \u0628\u0627 \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0634\u0628\u06a9\u0647\u060c \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u062f\u0647\u0646\u062f\u06af\u0627\u0646 \u0633\u0631\u0648\u0631 \u067e\u0631\u0648\u06a9\u0633\u06cc \u0645\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f OneProxy \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0648\u062f \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u060c \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0648\u062c \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0631\u0627 \u067e\u06cc\u0634 \u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f \u0648 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f \u06a9\u0644\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0647\u0628\u0648\u062f \u0628\u062e\u0634\u0646\u062f.<\/p>\n<h2>\u0644\u06cc\u0646\u06a9 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0648\u0637\u0647<\/h2>\n<p>\u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0628\u06cc\u0634\u062a\u0631 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0648\u0631\u062f \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc (STL)\u060c \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0628\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u062f:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/2686915\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0644\u0646\u062f \u0648 \u0647\u0645\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u0644 1990 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0648\u0631\u062f STL<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/otexts.com\/fpp3\/stl.html\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">\u0627\u0633\u0646\u0627\u062f STL Hyndman<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itl.nist.gov\/div898\/handbook\/pmc\/section4\/pmc4.htm\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0647 \u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u062f\u0631 \u0646\u062a\u06cc\u062c\u0647\u060c \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0641\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc (STL) \u06cc\u06a9 \u0631\u0648\u0634 \u0647\u0645\u0647 \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u06a9\u0647 \u0627\u062c\u0632\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0622\u0634\u06a9\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f \u0648 \u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0631\u06a9 \u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0628\u0647\u062a\u0631 \u062f\u0631 \u0632\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u06a9\u0645\u06a9 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06af\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u060c \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062d\u06a9\u0627\u0645 \u0648 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u06cc\u0631\u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0622\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0628\u0632\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0631\u0632\u0634 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0634\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0648 \u06a9\u0645\u06a9 \u0628\u0647 \u0641\u0631\u0622\u06cc\u0646\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u0635\u0645\u06cc\u0645 \u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0628\u062a\u0646\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u062a\u0628\u062f\u06cc\u0644 \u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0646\u062f.<\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":470433,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-478852","wiki","type-wiki","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"faq_title":"Frequently Asked Questions about <mark>Seasonal Decomposition of a Time Series (STL) - Unveiling Temporal Patterns<\/mark>","faq_items":[{"question":"What is Seasonal Decomposition of a Time Series (STL)?","answer":"<p>Seasonal Decomposition of a Time Series (STL) is a statistical technique that breaks down time series data into its fundamental components: trend, seasonal variations, and irregular fluctuations. This process offers insights into the underlying patterns within the data, aiding in better analysis and understanding.<\/p>"},{"question":"How does STL work internally?","answer":"<p>STL utilizes three main components:<\/p><ol><li><strong>Trend Component<\/strong>: Captures long-term changes by smoothing the data using Loess regression.<\/li><li><strong>Seasonal Component<\/strong>: Reveals recurring patterns by averaging deviations from the trend within seasonal cycles.<\/li><li><strong>Residual Component<\/strong>: Represents unpredictable variations by subtracting the trend and seasonal components from the original data.<\/li><\/ol>"},{"question":"What are the advantages of using STL?","answer":"<p>STL boasts several benefits:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Flexibility<\/strong>: Accommodates various data types and irregular observations.<\/li><li><strong>Robustness<\/strong>: Robust Loess smoothing mitigates the impact of noisy data.<\/li><li><strong>Interpretability<\/strong>: Breaks down data into understandable components.<\/li><li><strong>Seasonality Detection<\/strong>: Effectively extracts complex seasonality patterns.<\/li><\/ul>"},{"question":"What are the applications of STL?","answer":"<p>STL finds applications in multiple fields:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Economics and Finance<\/strong>: Analyzing market trends and economic indicators.<\/li><li><strong>Environmental Science<\/strong>: Studying climate and ecological fluctuations.<\/li><li><strong>Retail and Sales<\/strong>: Understanding consumer behavior and sales patterns.<\/li><\/ul>"},{"question":"How does STL compare with similar methods?","answer":"<p>In comparison to moving averages, exponential smoothing, and ARIMA models, STL offers more comprehensive insights into different components of time series data, including trend, seasonality, and residuals.<\/p>"},{"question":"How can STL be improved in the future?","answer":"<p>Advancements in machine learning and automated parameter tuning could enhance STL's capabilities, making it even more adaptable to diverse data types and patterns.<\/p>"},{"question":"What's the connection between proxy servers and STL?","answer":"<p>Proxy servers assist in gathering time series data, which can be analyzed using STL to uncover hidden patterns. For instance, OneProxy utilizes STL to optimize its services, predict usage patterns, and improve overall performance.<\/p>"},{"question":"Where can I find more information about STL?","answer":"<p>For additional resources on STL, you can refer to the following links:<\/p><ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/2686915\" target=\"_new\">Cleveland et al.'s 1990 paper on STL<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/otexts.com\/fpp3\/stl.html\" target=\"_new\">Hyndman's STL Documentation<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itl.nist.gov\/div898\/handbook\/pmc\/section4\/pmc4.htm\" target=\"_new\">Introduction to Time Series Analysis<\/a><\/li><\/ul>"}]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/ir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/wiki\/478852","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/ir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/wiki"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/ir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/wiki"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/ir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/wiki\/478852\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/ir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/470433"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/ir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=478852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}