{"id":478539,"date":"2023-08-09T09:34:29","date_gmt":"2023-08-09T09:34:29","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2023-10-30T16:23:04","modified_gmt":"2023-10-30T16:23:04","slug":"prophet","status":"publish","type":"wiki","link":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/cn\/wiki\/prophet\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9884\u8a00\u5bb6"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Prophet \u662f\u4e00\u6b3e\u7528\u4e8e\u5206\u6790\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u5b83\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u52a0\u6cd5\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u7684\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e0e\u5e74\u5ea6\u3001\u6bcf\u5468\u548c\u6bcf\u65e5\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u5047\u65e5\u6548\u5e94\u76f8\u543b\u5408\u3002\u5b83\u7531 Facebook \u7684\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u5f00\u53d1\uff0c\u53ef\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5f00\u6e90\u8f6f\u4ef6\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5148\u77e5\u7684\u8d77\u6e90\u548c\u9996\u6b21\u63d0\u53ca<\/h2>\n<p>Prophet \u6700\u521d\u7531 Facebook \u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u56e2\u961f\u4e8e 2017 \u5e74\u5f00\u53d1\u548c\u53d1\u5e03\u3002\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u79cd\u65e0\u9700\u5927\u91cf\u7edf\u8ba1\u77e5\u8bc6\u5373\u53ef\u8ba9\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u548c\u5f00\u53d1\u4eba\u5458\u8f7b\u677e\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u5b83\u4ee5 Python \u548c R \u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u53ef\u4f9b\u5e7f\u5927\u53d7\u4f17\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5e76\u56e0\u5176\u80fd\u591f\u5e94\u5bf9\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6311\u6218\u800c\u8fc5\u901f\u5728\u5404\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u4e2d\u6d41\u884c\u8d77\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5173\u4e8e\u5148\u77e5\u7684\u8be6\u7ec6\u4fe1\u606f\uff1a\u6269\u5c55\u4e3b\u9898<\/h2>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u5176\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u548c\u7a33\u5065\u6027\uff0cProphet \u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5173\u952e\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u8be6\u7ec6\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u5c55\u4e86 Prophet \u7684\u7ec4\u4ef6\uff1a<\/p>\n<h3>\u6210\u5206<\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>\u8d8b\u52bf\u6a21\u578b<\/strong>\uff1a\u8bc6\u522b\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6a21\u578b<\/strong>\uff1a\u6355\u83b7\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6bcf\u65e5\u3001\u6bcf\u5468\u548c\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u8282\u65e5\u6548\u5e94<\/strong>\uff1a\u8003\u8651\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5047\u671f\u6216\u7279\u6b8a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u8bef\u5dee\u9879<\/strong>\uff1a\u8003\u8651\u6a21\u578b\u65e0\u6cd5\u89e3\u91ca\u7684\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3>\u7b97\u6cd5<\/h3>\n<p>Prophet \u4f7f\u7528\u4e00\u79cd\u7ed3\u5408\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6210\u5206\u7684\u52a0\u6cd5\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u7ed3\u5408\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u533a\u95f4\u6765\u6355\u6349\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5148\u77e5\u7684\u5185\u90e8\u7ed3\u6784\uff1a\u5148\u77e5\u5982\u4f55\u5de5\u4f5c<\/h2>\n<p>Prophet \u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u7531\u5176\u7ed3\u5408\u4e0d\u540c\u7ec4\u4ef6\u7684\u52a0\u6cd5\u6a21\u578b\u5b9a\u4e49\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u8d8b\u52bf<\/strong>\uff1a\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u7684\u7ebf\u6027\u6216\u903b\u8f91\u589e\u957f\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5b63\u8282\u6027<\/strong>\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528\u5085\u91cc\u53f6\u7ea7\u6570\u8868\u793a\u6bcf\u5468\u548c\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5047\u671f<\/strong>\uff1a\u7528\u6237\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u65e5\u671f\u5217\u8868\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u6a21\u62df\u5047\u671f\u6216\u7279\u6b8a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u4f7f\u7528\u5e7f\u4e49\u52a0\u6027\u6a21\u578b (GAM) \u6846\u67b6\u7684\u53d8\u4f53\u8fdb\u884c\u62df\u5408\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u7528\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u8bed\u8a00 Stan \u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u8ba1\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>Prophet \u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u7279\u5f81\u5206\u6790<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>\u5bf9\u7f3a\u5931\u6570\u636e\u5177\u6709\u9c81\u68d2\u6027<\/strong>\uff1a\u65e0\u9700\u8fdb\u884c\u63d2\u8865\u5373\u53ef\u5904\u7406\u7f3a\u5931\u7684\u6570\u636e\u70b9\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u81ea\u52a8\u68c0\u6d4b\u5b63\u8282\u6027<\/strong>\uff1a\u81ea\u52a8\u68c0\u6d4b\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5305\u542b\u8282\u5047\u65e5<\/strong>\uff1a\u5141\u8bb8\u56f4\u7ed5\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u548c\u6d3b\u52a8\u8fdb\u884c\u7279\u6b8a\u5efa\u6a21\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u7075\u6d3b\u6027<\/strong>\uff1a\u5728\u5efa\u6a21\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u5b63\u8282\u5f71\u54cd\u65b9\u9762\u5177\u6709\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u53ef\u6269\u5c55\u6027<\/strong>\uff1a\u80fd\u591f\u5904\u7406\u5927\u578b\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2>\u5148\u77e5\u7684\u7c7b\u578b\uff1a\u8868\u683c\u548c\u5217\u8868<\/h2>\n<p>Prophet \u6a21\u578b\u4e3b\u8981\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u4ee5\u914d\u7f6e\u4e3a\u4e0d\u540c\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff1a<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u751f\u957f\u7c7b\u578b<\/th>\n<th>\u63cf\u8ff0<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u7ebf\u6027<\/td>\n<td>\u5047\u8bbe\u7ebf\u6027\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u9650\u5236\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u7269\u6d41<\/td>\n<td>\u5047\u8bbe\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u5e76\u8fbe\u5230\u9971\u548c\u70b9\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Prophet\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u65b9\u6cd5\u3001\u4f7f\u7528\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u9047\u5230\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u53ca\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h2>\n<p>Prophet \u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u9500\u552e\u9884\u6d4b<\/li>\n<li>\u80a1\u5e02\u9884\u6d4b<\/li>\n<li>\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5<\/li>\n<li>\u4ea4\u901a\u9884\u6d4b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u95ee\u9898\u4e0e\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u8fc7\u62df\u5408<\/strong>\uff1a\u8c03\u6574\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u8282\u65e5\u6548\u5e94<\/strong>\uff1a\u624b\u52a8\u6dfb\u52a0\u91cd\u8981\u8282\u65e5\u6216\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u8ba1\u7b97\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong>\uff1a\u8c03\u6574\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u4f18\u5148\u5c3a\u5ea6\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u4e3b\u8981\u7279\u70b9\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u4e0e\u540c\u7c7b\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u7279\u5f81<\/th>\n<th>\u9884\u8a00\u5bb6<\/th>\n<th>\u963f\u91cc\u739b<\/th>\n<th>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u5efa\u6a21<\/td>\n<td>\u662f\u7684<\/td>\n<td>\u4e0d<\/td>\n<td>\u662f\u7684<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u8d8b\u52bf\u7075\u6d3b\u6027<\/td>\n<td>\u9ad8\u7684<\/td>\n<td>\u4f4e\u7684<\/td>\n<td>\u4e2d\u7b49\u7684<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u5904\u7406\u7f3a\u5931\u6570\u636e<\/td>\n<td>\u662f\u7684<\/td>\n<td>\u4e0d<\/td>\n<td>\u4e0d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u4f7f\u7528\u65b9\u4fbf<\/td>\n<td>\u9ad8\u7684<\/td>\n<td>\u4e2d\u7b49\u7684<\/td>\n<td>\u4e2d\u7b49\u7684<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>\u4e0e Prophet \u76f8\u5173\u7684\u672a\u6765\u89c2\u70b9\u548c\u6280\u672f<\/h2>\n<p>Prophet \u6301\u7eed\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u793e\u533a\u4e5f\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e3a\u5b83\u7684\u6539\u8fdb\u505a\u51fa\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5c55\u671b\u53ef\u80fd\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u589e\u5f3a\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u8c03\u6574\u7b97\u6cd5\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u4e0e\u5b9e\u65f6\u5206\u6790\u5e73\u53f0\u96c6\u6210\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u4e3a\u7279\u5b9a\u884c\u4e1a\u5f00\u53d1\u4e13\u95e8\u7684\u7248\u672c\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528\u4ee3\u7406\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u6216\u5c06\u5176\u4e0e Prophet \u5173\u8054<\/h2>\n<p>\u50cf OneProxy \u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u4ee3\u7406\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0e Prophet \u7ed3\u5408\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u7f51\u9875\u6293\u53d6\u548c\u6570\u636e\u6536\u96c6\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7528\u4e8e\u5b9e\u65f6\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u786e\u4fdd\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u533f\u540d\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8bbf\u95ee\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4ee3\u7406\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5b9e\u73b0\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u548c\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u76f8\u5173\u94fe\u63a5<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/facebook.github.io\/prophet\/\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Prophet \u5b98\u65b9\u6587\u6863<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.fb.com\/blog\/2017\/02\/prophet-forecasting-at-scale\/\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Prophet \u4e0a\u7684 Facebook \u7814\u7a76\u535a\u5ba2<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/cn\/\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"noopener\">OneProxy\u7f51\u7ad9<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u901a\u8fc7\u8003\u8651\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\uff0cProphet \u6210\u4e3a\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u9886\u57df\u7684\u591a\u529f\u80fd\u3001\u5f3a\u5927\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u53ef\u6ee1\u8db3\u5404\u79cd\u5e94\u7528\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5b83\u4e0e\u4ee3\u7406\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u7684\u5173\u8054\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5176\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u6570\u636e\u9a71\u52a8\u51b3\u7b56\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":491170,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-478539","wiki","type-wiki","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"faq_title":"Frequently Asked Questions about <mark>Prophet: An In-Depth Analysis<\/mark>","faq_items":null},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/wiki\/478539","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/wiki"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/wiki"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/wiki\/478539\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/491170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/oneproxy.pro\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=478539"}],"curies":[{"name":"\u53ef\u6e7f\u6027\u7c89\u5242","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}